Congress (UPA) Poised to win in 2009

		LokasabhaPredictions as of March 2009
State / UT	Total No Of Seats	Congress	Cong Allies	BJP	BJP Allies	UNPA	Others
Andaman and Nicobar Islands	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Andhra Pradesh	42	28	0	1	0	11	2
Arunachal Pradesh	2	2	0	0	0	0	0
Assam	14	4	0	4	6	0	0
Bihar	40	7	13	8	10	2	0
Chandigarh	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Chhattisgarh	11	5	0	6	0	0	0
Dadra and Nagar Haveli	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Daman and Diu	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Delhi	7	2	0	5	0	0	0
Goa	2	1	0	1	0	0	0
Gujarat	26	12	0	14	0	0	0
Haryana	10	2	2	4	2	0	0
Himachal Pradesh	4	1	0	2	1	0	0
Jammu and Kashmir	6	1	2	0	0	3	0
Jharkhand	14	3	3	3	2	1	0
Karnataka	28	12	0	10	0	6	0
Kerala	20	8	4	0	0	8	0
Lakshadweep	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
Madhya Pradesh	29	15	0	13	0	0	1
Maharashtra	48	14	15	7	9	0	0
Manipur	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
Meghalaya	2	1	0	0	0	0	1
Mizoram	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Nagaland	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Orissa	21	5	0	6	0	10	0
Pondicherry	1	0	0	0	0	1	0
Punjab	13	6	0	2	5	0	0
Rajasthan	25	8	0	17	0	0	0
Sikkim	1	0	1	0	0	0	0
Tamil Nadu	39	5	12	0	0	22	0
Tripura	2	0	0	0	0	2	0
Uttaranchal	5	2	0	3	0	0	0
Uttar Pradesh	80	7	0	7	6	26	34
West Bengal	42	4	9	0	0	27	2
	543	161	63	113	41	119	41
	UPA	224
	NDA	154
	UNPA	119
	Others	41

UPA is expected to better its 2004 performances if the alliances it has stiched goes well. Congress on its own can get 15-25 seats more than 2004 Loksabha.

The key states for Congress would be Andhra PRadesh (30 out of 42), MAharasthra (29 out of 45). It may also post a good total in Gujarat and Karnataka contradicting CNN-IBN opinion poll and other polls

The surprise for the congress might come from Rajasthan, where it is bound to lose many seats to BJP. The BJP has quickly turned around Rajasthan in its favour after the defeat in assembly elections.

BJP on the other hand doesn't have a state that might give more than twenty MPs. It might put up good performance in Delhi, Haryana, Goa etc but would have handful of MPs.

It pins hope on two states - Tamil Nadu - a white wash from AIADMK would weaken UPA and Bihar - a good show by JDU/BJP combine

All in all BJP expects congress to lose rather than expecting a win on its own.

UPA, however, will fall short of the majority (273) by forty - fifty seats and that makes things interesting. The biggest question is who will win Uttar Pradesh?

Whover sweeps Uttar Pradesh will be the king maker. Or will it be a Queen from UP?